Let’s Compare… Nintendo Switch Leaks and Predictions!
For the last few months, a myriad of different social media personalities have posting ‘leaks’ for the Nintendo Switch. Sometimes this means whole games, like the rumoured Rabbids vs Mario RPG that Laura Kate Dale mentioned a while back. Sometimes it means random facts (like the Switch having region locking or the online multiplayer being pay to play).
Either way, they’ve been hugely popular as a result. I mean, the Nintendo news sites are flooded with their stories. Reddit had at least ten topics a week based on them. And heck, we even see an AMA with Laura Kate Dale on the Nintendo Switch subreddit.
But how do their leaks actually stack up? Was anyone right about the Switch and the games it’d be getting?
Well, let’s find out shall we? Let’s find out in our ultimate Nintendo Switch Leaks comparison list!
Laura Kate Dale
Starting with the Nintendo Switch subreddit’s leaker of choice, Laura Kate Dale. Here are some of the things she predicted for the console, as well as how accurate they turned out to be in the end:
- 3D Mario – Not a launch title, though it does exist. It’s called Super Mario Odyssey
- Mario Rabbids RPG – Nope, and certainly not a launch title. Might have been confused with the last game, given how rabbits appear as Bowser’s henchman.
- Splatoon Port – It’s not a port
- Just Dance 2017 – Correct
First 6 Months
- Smash port – Unless the turn around is real fast, this is very unlikely. Seems like an E3 announcement if anything.
- Zelda Breath of the Wild – Nope, it’s a launch game.
- Telltale Guardians of the Galaxy – Unknown
- Mario Kart 8 Port – It exists, and it’s got minor additions. More like second month though, not ‘first six months’.
- Xenoblade X Port – Not a new port. It’s a new game called Xenoblade Chronicles 2.
- Mario Maker Port – Unknown. Seems unlikely to be first six months though
- Pokemon Stars – Unknown
- Pikmin 4 – Unknown
- Beyond Good & Evil – Unknown
As you can see, the vast majority of predictions turned out to be questionable or wrong. And those aren’t the only one she mentioned either.
Oh no, she also said that a Mother 3 port would be announced for the Nintendo Switch Virtual Console at the January 12th event…
Mother 3 VC Switch Q2 2017. Will be announced Jan 12 event.
— Laura Kate Dale (@LaurakBuzz) January 2, 2017
It wasn’t. Nor was the console going to be priced at £199.99 like she predicted it would be.
Yeah, that’s pretty far off the mark. Unless GAME like hurting their business by drastically underpricing their products (hint: they don’t), it’s not going to be sold for less than £279.99.
Either way, Dale’s track record has been pretty poor recently. Not all bad (a fair few games mentioned could still be coming), but not as accurate as before.
But how about some of the other leakers? How has their track record been?
Like say, Unseen64 contributor Liam Robertson’s? After all, he also made a few ‘predictions’ about the Nintendo Switch and the games that’d be shown at the presentation.
Rumour has it that octolings are finally coming to Splatoon in the Switch version.
— 🐝am Robertson (@Doctor_Cupcakes) January 5, 2017
That doesn’t seem to be very accurate either, since said Splatoon title is both a sequel and has no Octolings in sight. But hey, we’ll count that as ‘half wrong’, since it could just be a feature Nintendo will show off in a future Direct or something.
And nor was Metroid Switch shown in the Nintendo Switch Presentation. Which was another claim Mr Robertson made on Twitter:
Let’s not also forget his response to a certain 4chan link either:
Yeah, funny that. Funny that the list with Splatoon 2 and Mario Kart 8 Deluxe turned out to be dead right, whereas your leaks and rumours turned out to be mostly wrong.
Add the fact you clearly said Splatoon would be getting a mere port instead of a sequel, and well, your track record is shot through.
Hmm, this is becoming a bit of trend with these guys isn’t it? Ah well, let’s move onto someone else, shall we?
In this case, longtime leaker and rumour monger Emily Rogers and her thoughts on the Nintendo Switch. Here’s what she predicted:
That Mario Kart 8 Port will have at least 16 new tracks – This seems to be false. It only has new battle arenas, karts, items and characters. New race tracks are nowhere to be found.
Other rumours she posted were that:
Smash Bros, Mario Maker and Splatoon were getting enhanced ports:
Though given she clarified that Splatoon was getting a sequel instead of a port, we shouldn’t judge on that one:
Here's the game I said was a sequel instead of a port. https://t.co/eYqNz6Xh77
— Emily Rogers (@ArcadeGirl64) January 13, 2017
So, that’s one point in her favour there. As her post that the Switch was region free:
As I previously reported in my September 2nd post, Nintendo Switch is 100% region free.
— Emily Rogers (@ArcadeGirl64) October 20, 2016
That turned out to be 100% true as well. However, she also said Zelda wouldn’t be a launch game as well:
As well as that Zelda wouldn’t be released in March.
Which turned out to be 100% false. She also mentioned that a 3D Mario game might be a launch title instead of Breath of the Wild.
Again, that turned out to be wrong as well.
Either way, a few accurate insights and sources (and perhaps a bit more reliability than Dale or Robertson), but still not indicative of someone who really knew what was going to come up in the Nintendo Switch Presentation.
But it’s not just the major three leakers we’re gonna talk about here. Oh no, a few other notable individuals posted about Nintendo Switch leaks and rumours too.
Like this ‘Geno’ guy on Reddit. There, he posted this 12 page document about Nintendo’s ‘new philosophy’ and the games that would supposedly be coming to the Nintendo Switch because of it.
It was a really interesting read too.
Unfortunately, it wasn’t accurate in the slightest.
For one thing, it calls the Mario game ‘Super Mario Switcharoo’, an obvious fake that was proven wrong about 5 minutes into the presentation (or by anyone with some common sense). It also referenced StreetPass support for Pokken Tournament (StreetPass doesn’t exist as a Switch feature)
Either way, it was a decent enough attempt at presenting a ‘believable’ setup for the Switch and its games. Just one that turned out to be completely wrong.
However, it wasn’t all bad news. Oh no, there was exactly one leak that turned out to be completely accurate. Namely, this unknown leak posted on 4chan…
Can’t see the image? Well, here’s what it stated:
- Has Been Heroes – Indie Viking style action game by Frozenbyte
- Fast RMX – Fast Racing NEO redone on Switch
- Snipperclips – Small title that uses two joycons for two player experience
- Splatoon 2 – A sequel, not just a port
- Super Bomberman R – Surprise!
- Arms – Fantasy fighting game. All characters are themed and have long arms with different powers
- Disgaea 5 Complete – Original game with all DLC
- Ultra Street Fighter 2: The Final Challengers – Port with new content
- Mario Kart 8 Deluxe – Port with new content
- Super Mario Odyssey – New 3D Mario title. Logo has a plane in it, implying new flight mechanic
- Zelda BOTW
- Just Dance 2017
- Skylanders Imaginators
- 1 2 Switch – The Switch’s mini game compilation, showcasing the tech
As you can tell, it was pretty much 100% spot on. We got Super Mario Odyssey, which indeed has a plane in the logo and new flight mechanic. Arms and 1 2 Switch are both confirmed new titles for the system which work exactly as described. And yes, Mario Kart 8 Deluxe and Splatoon 2 are exactly like the description states.
So congrats mystery guy at event. You actually nailed every announcement in the Nintendo Switch presentation, and did so better than people who’ve been leaking information for years to boot. Maybe you should open a Twitter account and starting making ‘predictions’ then?
Or maybe we should always be sceptical of those claiming to have ‘inside’ information into a new game or system, and not jump the gun by posting about it ten seconds after it appears on Twitter. Yeah, that’s how gaming journalism should work. Question everything, and verify anything you post online.
But hey, what do you think of the leaks?